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Tesla Model 3 production hits 5k/week, 7k including Model S & Model X

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7 years ago

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Tesla has managed to scale Model 3 production to 5,000 vehicles per week. As noted by Elon Musk in an email to employees, Tesla did not only produce 5,000 Model 3 in seven days; it was also able to maintain the pace of 2,000 vehicles per week for the Model S and Model X.

The signs were already there in the days leading up to the end of the second quarter. This weekend alone, a series of images from workers at Fremont were uploaded on social media, suggesting that the company had hit its all-elusive production goal for the compact electric car. Among the most prominent was a “Model 3 5k Club” banner with signatures of workers from the Fremont factory. Casual snapshots from the facility’s grounds and assembly line, as well as a vehicle labeled “5000th” on its windshield, also suggested that the company had produced its 5,000th Model 3 for the week.

While the images coming out from Fremont incited speculations, they were eventually confirmed by a leaked email from Elon Musk himself. A partial copy of Musk’s email was provided to Teslarati by an anonymous insider.

“We did it!! What an incredible job by an amazing team. Couldn’t be more proud to work with you. It’s an honor. The level of dedication and creativity was mind-blowing. We either found a way or, by will and inventiveness, created entirely new solutions that were thought impossible.

“Intense in tents. Transporting entire production lines across the world in massive cargo planes. Whatever. It worked. Not only did we factory gate over 5,000 Model 3’s, but we also achieved the S & X production target for a combined 7,000 vehicle week!”

The 5,000/week target for the Model 3 has proven to be elusive for the electric car and energy company. During the vehicle’s unveiling last year, Elon Musk estimated that Tesla could attain the milestone by the end of 2017. When the company failed to hit this goal, Tesla opted to move the deadline to the second quarter of 2018, placing a target of 2,500 Model 3 per week at the end of Q1 2018.

The first Model 3 Performance Dual Motor rolls off the assembly line. [Credit: Elon Musk/Twitter]

Tesla did not meet this goal, though it did manage to manufacture more than 2,000 vehicles during the final week of March. During the 2018 Annual Shareholder Meeting, however, Elon Musk announced that Tesla was on track to hitting its 5,000/week target by the end of Q2 2018. Musk’s reassurance ultimately helped push Tesla stock towards a meteoric rise, at one point even coming close to its all-time high.

Tesla’s Model 3 production milestone did not come easy for the Elon Musk-led company. During the second quarter, the company had to shut down the vehicle’s manufacturing twice to make way for upgrades on the production line. New robots and other machinery were also flown in from Europe to Gigafactory 1 in order to help address bottlenecks in the production of the vehicles’ battery packs.

In an unprecedented move this June, Tesla also erected a massive sprung structure on the grounds of the Fremont factory to house another assembly line for the Model 3. The move, deemed “insanity” by critics, ultimately allowed the company to augment its capability to manufacture the compact electric car. 

According to a Reuters report, Tesla is now targeting a pace equivalent to 6,000 Model 3 per week within the next month. As noted by Elon Musk in his email to employees, the recently attained milestone might have very well established Tesla as a formidable car maker.

“I think we just became a real car company,” Musk wrote.

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Simon is a reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla is ‘better-positioned’ as a company and as a stock as tariff situation escalates

Published

1 month ago

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February 3, 2025

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The Cybertruck-towed Model Y ad at Hayden Planetarium. Credit: Tesla North America | X

Tesla is “better-positioned” as a company and as a stock as the tariff situation between the United States, Mexico, and Canada continues to escalate as President Donald Trump announced sanctions against those countries.

Analysts at Piper Sandler are unconcerned regarding Tesla’s position as a high-level stock holding as the tariff drama continues to unfold. This is mostly due to its reputation as a vehicle manufacturer in the domestic market, especially as it holds a distinct advantage of having some of the most American-made vehicles in the country.

Analysts at the firm, led by Alexander Potter, said Tesla is “one of the most defensive stocks” in the automotive sector as the tariff situation continues.

The defensive play comes from the nature of the stock, which should not be too impacted from a U.S. standpoint because of its focus on building vehicles and sourcing parts from manufacturers and companies based in the United States. Tesla has held the distinct title of having several of the most American-made cars, based on annual studies from Cars.com.

Its most recent study, released in June 2024, showed that the Model Y, Model S, and Model X are three of the top ten vehicles with the most U.S.-based manufacturing.

Tesla captures three spots in Cars.com’s American-Made Index, only U.S. manufacturer in list

The year prior, Tesla swept the top four spots of the study.

Piper Sandler analysts highlighted this point in a new note on Monday morning amidst increasing tension between the U.S. and Canada, as Mexico has already started to work with the Trump Administration on a solution:

“Tesla assembles five vehicles in the U.S., and all five rank among the most American-made cars.”

However, with that being said, there is certainly the potential for things to get tougher. The analysts believe that Tesla, while potentially impacted, will be in a better position than most companies because of their domestic position:

“If nothing changes in the next few days, tariffs will almost certainly deal a crippling blow to automotive supply chains in North America. [There is a possibility that] Trump capitulates in some way (perhaps he’ll delay implementation, in an effort to save face).”

There is no evidence that Tesla will be completely bulletproof when it comes to these potential impacts. However, it is definitely better insulated than other companies.

Need accessories for your Tesla? Check out the Teslarati Marketplace:

Please email me with questions and comments at joey@teslarati.com. I’d love to chat! You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets price target boost from Truist, but it comes with criticism

Published

1 month ago

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January 30, 2025

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a price target boost from analysts at Truist Securities, but it came with some criticisms based on a lack of information on several things that investors were excited to hear about regarding future vehicles and AI achievements.

Last night, Tesla reported its earnings from the fourth quarter of 2024, and while it had a very tempered financial showing, missing most of the Wall Street targets that were set for it, the stock was up after hours and on Thursday due to the details the company released regarding its plans for 2025.

CEO Elon Musk stunned listeners last night by revealing plans to launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving as a service in Austin in June 2025. It will be the first time Tesla will offer driverless FSD rides in public, something it has been working with the City of Austin on since December.

Tesla to launch unsupervised Full Self-Driving as a service in Austin in June

It also reiterated plans for affordable models to be launched this year, potentially catalyzing annual growth in deliveries, something it said it expects to resume in 2025.

Tesla was flat on deliveries in 2024 compared to 2023.

The positives during the call were enough for Truist Securities analyst William Stein to raise the company’s price target to $373 from $351. However, Stein’s note to investors showed there was something to be desired despite all the good that was revealed during the call:

Stein said there was “not enough ground-truth” during the call and too much of a focus on “cheerleading” the company’s potential releases this year:

“Too much cheerleading; not enough ground-truth. In Q4, TSLA’s ASP weakness drive revenue, GPM, OPM, & EPS below consensus.”

As previously mentioned, Tesla did report weak financials that missed consensus estimates. What saved the call and perhaps the stock from plummeting on these missed metrics was the other details that Musk revealed, especially the FSD launch in Austin in June.

There were also plenty of things related to the affordable models and other vehicles, like the fact that Tesla plans to include things like Steer by Wire, Adaptive Air Suspension, and Rear Wheel Steering, that helped offset negatives.

Stein saw this as a distraction from what should have been reported:

“While CEO Elon Musk played the role of cheerleader, calling for TSLA’s path to massive market cap by leading in autonomy, management was remarkably short on two critical details: (1) info about new vehicles in 2025 and (2) milestones for AI acheivements, especially FSD. We continue to ask ourselves ‘where’s the beef?’ CY26 EPS to $3.99 (from $4.87). DCF-derived PT to $373 (from $351).”

Tesla did detail some AI milestones, like its record-breaking miles per accident on Autopilot, which was a Q4-best of 5.94 million miles. The Shareholder Deck also outlined major upgrades to AI:

“In Q4, we completed the deployment of Cortex, a ~50k H100 training cluster at Gigafactory Texas. Cortex helped enable V13 of FSD (Supervised)1, which boasts major improvements in safety and comfort thanks to 4.2x increase in data, higher resolution video inputs, 2x reduction in photon-to-control latency and redesigned controller, among other enhancements.”

Tesla shares are up 2.11 percent on Thursday as of 12:05 p.m. on the East Coast.

Need accessories for your Tesla? Check out the Teslarati Marketplace:

Please email me with questions and comments at joey@teslarati.com. I’d love to chat! You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla posts Q4 2024 vehicle safety report

Published

1 month ago

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January 29, 2025

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tesla-full-self-driving-unsupervised
(Source: Tesla)

Tesla has released its Q4 2024 vehicle safety report. Similar to data from previous quarters, vehicles that were operating with Autopilot technology proved notably safer. 

The Q4 2024 report:

  • As per Tesla, it recorded one crash for every 5.94 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology.
  • The company also recorded one crash for every 1.08 million miles driven for drivers who were not using Autopilot technology.
  • For comparison, the most recent data available from the NHTSA and FHWA (from 2023) showed that there was one automobile crash every 702,000 miles in the United States.

Previous safety reports:

  • In Q3 2024, Tesla recorded one crash for every 7.08 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology and one crash for every 1.29 million miles driven by drivers not using Autopilot technology.
  • In Q2 2024, Tesla recorded one crash for every 6.88 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology, and one crash for every 1.45 million miles driven for drivers not using Autopilot technology.
  • In Q1 2024, Tesla recorded one crash for every 7.63 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology, and one crash for every 955,000 million miles driven for drivers not using Autopilot technology.

Year-over-Year Comparison:

  • In Q4 2023, Tesla recorded one crash for every 5.39 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot technology and one crash for every 1.00 million miles driven for drivers not using Autopilot technology.

Key background:

  • Tesla began voluntarily releasing quarterly safety reports in October 2018 to provide critical safety information about our vehicles to the public.
  • On July 2019, Tesla started voluntarily releasing annual updated data about vehicle fires as well.
  • It should be noted that accident rates among all vehicles on the road can vary from quarter to quarter and can be affected by seasonality, such as reduced daylight and inclement weather conditions.

Don’t hesitate to contact us with news tips. Just send a message to simon@teslarati.com to give us a heads up.

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